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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-03-08T04:17:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-08T04:17Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14544/-1
CME Note: Large eruption from AR 2734 at 03:11Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-12T02:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-12T12:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

:Issued: 2019 Mar 08 1347 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
A relatively long duration C1.3-class flare was observed at  03:19 UT on
March 08. This flare originated from Catania sunspot group 9 (NOAA Active
Region 2734), which was located at about 7 degrees latitude North and 10
degrees longitude West. A coronal dimming was observed to be associated
with this flare, and a coronal mass ejection (CME) was also observed in
SOHO/LASCO-C2 data (no STEREO-COR3 data are available). The projected CME
speed in the plane of the sky was estimated to be in the range of 288 km/s
and 331 km/s by the CACTUS detection tool, and we have evaluated the
corrected speed to be around 440 km/s. The slow speed CME is expected to
reach Earth in about 4 days, on March 12 midday.
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Lead Time: 84.22 hour(s)
Difference: -10.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2019-03-08T13:47Z

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